IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Central Florida
American Athletic
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	+4.5	#94
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	64.0	#305
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.4	#164

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+4.2	#64

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.5%	0.6%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	1.4%	1.5%	0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid	11.9%	12.8%	3.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	9.2%	9.9%	2.6%
Average Seed	9.6	9.6	10.2

.500 or above	60.4%	63.3%	31.2%
.500 or above in Conference	48.3%	50.3%	28.3%
Conference Champion	3.8%	4.0%	1.1%
Last Place in Conference	6.0%	5.5%	11.3%

First Four	3.3%	3.5%	1.2%
First Round	10.1%	10.9%	2.6%
Second Round	4.2%	4.5%	0.8%
Sweet Sixteen	1.2%	1.3%	0.2%
Elite Eight	0.3%	0.4%	0.0%
Final Four	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Prairie View (Home) - 90.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 3	0 - 3
Quad 1b	1 - 3	1 - 5
Quad 2	3 - 4	4 - 10
Quad 3	5 - 3	9 - 13
Quad 4	7 - 1	16 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2019	277	Prairie View	W	77-63	91%
Nov 12, 2019	63	Miami (FL)	L	67-68	46%
Nov 17, 2019	187	@ Illinois St.	W	67-64	63%
Nov 23, 2019	123	College of Charleston	W	68-63	66%
Nov 28, 2019	98	Penn	W	67-66	51%
Dec 07, 2019	175	NJIT	W	70-62	76%
Dec 10, 2019	167	Green Bay	W	79-71	75%
Dec 15, 2019	249	Sacred Heart	W	79-67	86%
Dec 18, 2019	326	Bethune-Cookman	W	79-61	94%
Dec 21, 2019	38	@ Oklahoma	L	63-73	20%
Dec 31, 2019	83	Temple	W	69-68	54%
Jan 03, 2020	32	@ Houston	L	60-70	19%
Jan 08, 2020	89	@ SMU	L	63-67	37%
Jan 11, 2020	29	Cincinnati	L	60-65	35%
Jan 14, 2020	242	@ Tulane	W	72-66	70%
Jan 18, 2020	79	South Florida	W	66-65	53%
Jan 25, 2020	58	@ Wichita St.	L	63-71	27%
Jan 29, 2020	26	Memphis	L	73-78	34%
Feb 01, 2020	79	@ South Florida	L	63-68	32%
Feb 06, 2020	203	@ East Carolina	W	70-66	63%
Feb 09, 2020	100	Tulsa	W	69-66	61%
Feb 13, 2020	58	Wichita St.	L	66-68	45%
Feb 19, 2020	29	@ Cincinnati	L	57-68	19%
Feb 22, 2020	242	Tulane	W	75-63	84%
Feb 26, 2020	73	@ Connecticut	L	66-72	32%
Feb 29, 2020	100	@ Tulsa	L	66-69	41%
Mar 04, 2020	89	SMU	W	66-64	57%
Mar 08, 2020	203	East Carolina	W	73-63	80%
Projected Record						15 - 13	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected American Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.1	0.5	1.1	1.3	0.6	0.2	0.0		3.8	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	1.3	2.3	1.5	0.5	0.0	0.0			5.9	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.2	1.9	3.2	1.7	0.3	0.0					7.4	3rd
4th									0.0	0.2	2.3	4.0	1.9	0.2	0.0						8.6	4th
5th									0.2	2.2	4.8	2.5	0.2	0.0							10.0	5th
6th							0.0	0.2	2.0	4.6	2.8	0.4	0.0								10.1	6th
7th							0.2	1.8	4.7	3.6	0.6	0.0									10.9	7th
8th						0.2	2.0	4.8	4.0	0.8	0.0										11.9	8th
9th				0.0	0.3	1.8	4.5	4.0	0.8	0.0											11.4	9th
10th			0.0	0.4	1.9	3.8	3.0	0.8	0.0												9.9	10th
11th		0.0	0.6	1.8	2.6	1.5	0.4	0.0													6.8	11th
12th	0.2	0.5	1.1	1.1	0.5	0.1	0.0														3.5	12th

Total	0.2	0.6	1.7	3.3	5.2	7.3	10.0	11.7	11.8	11.6	10.7	9.0	6.6	4.9	2.8	1.8	0.6	0.2	0.0			Total

American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	99.5%	0.2		0.2	0.0
16-2	93.6%	0.6		0.5	0.1	0.0
15-3	71.4%	1.3		0.8	0.4	0.1
14-4	37.0%	1.1		0.4	0.5	0.2	0.0
13-5	10.8%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0
12-6	1.5%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	3.8%	3.8		2.0	1.2	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		100.0%	49.5%	50.5%	3.5		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0														100.0%
17-1	0.2%		100.0%	28.5%	71.5%	4.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0								100.0%
16-2	0.6%		99.3%	25.7%	73.6%	5.4		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0		99.1%
15-3	1.8%		89.6%	16.2%	73.5%	7.9		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0				0.2		87.6%
14-4	2.8%		75.9%	17.0%	58.9%	8.9			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.3	0.5	0.4	0.4	0.1	0.0				0.7		70.9%
13-5	4.9%		50.7%	9.0%	41.7%	10.1						0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.5	0.8	0.4	0.0				2.4		45.8%
12-6	6.6%		32.9%	8.3%	24.7%	10.7						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.8	0.5	0.0	0.0			4.5		26.9%
11-7	9.0%		16.4%	4.7%	11.6%	11.1							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.7	0.5	0.1		0.0		7.5		12.2%
10-8	10.7%		7.1%	2.4%	4.7%	11.5									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3	0.4	0.0	0.0			9.9		4.8%
9-9	11.6%		2.3%	1.4%	0.8%	11.6										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		11.4		0.8%
8-10	11.8%		0.8%	0.5%	0.3%	11.8											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			11.7		0.3%
7-11	11.7%		0.3%	0.3%	0.1%	12.1													0.0	0.0	0.0			11.7		0.1%
6-12	10.0%		0.2%	0.2%		12.7													0.0	0.0	0.0			10.0
5-13	7.3%		0.2%	0.2%		14.0															0.0	0.0		7.3
4-14	5.2%		0.0%	0.0%		14.0														0.0		0.0		5.2
3-15	3.3%																							3.3
2-16	1.7%																							1.7
1-17	0.6%																							0.6
0-18	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		11.9%	3.0%	9.0%	9.6		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.7	1.0	1.5	1.8	3.2	2.1	0.2	0.0	0.0		88.1		9.2%